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Illinois and Minnesota are both right ahead of Iowa at 7-8 in the conference.
Iowa is right now tied with Purdue at 6-8 in conference play.
Purdue = @ Iowa @Wisconsin Michigan Minnesota
Purdue's only chance is Minnesota at home. They are not a threat.
Minnesota= Penn St. (win) @Nebraska (could lose. Nebby plays well at home) @Purdue (Purdue could win this one as Minny has been in a slump on road)
Illinois= Nebraska (win) @Iowa (loss at Carver- Iowa win) @Ohio St. (loss)
Iowa= Purdue (win) @ Indiana (loss) Illinois (win at Carver) Nebraska (slaughter at Carver)
If Iowa can go 3-1 in the remaining games.
Illinois loses 2
Minny loses 1 or 2
Purdue will sink but we need them to beat Minny. I will be a pretend Boilermaker fan during this game.
Iowa could squeeze into 6th or 7th place.
Then win a game or 2 in the B1G Tourney and I'm thinking we will be in. What hurts Iowa is the loss at Nebraska and the fact that we just don't play well on the road. That said, the B1G Tourney is not to our advantage.
An upset at Indiana and winning out would put a stamp on an NCAA Tourney ticket.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by u2Hawk 14 months ago
I think winning these last four games is Iowa's primary path to the NCAA Tournament, with a 3-1 finish and a trip to the conference tourney finals being a possibility as well. What could end up hurting Iowa if the Hawkeyes fall short of finishing 4-0 is the relatively soft nonconference schedule. Even if Iowa finishes sixth or seventh in the B1G at 9-9, teams that lose a tiebreaker to Iowa or finish a game behind Iowa in the conference standings may have a better overall tournament resume, so they may get invited ahead of Iowa. The selection committee can take seven or eight B1G teams, but that doesn't necessarily mean that they have to be the top seven or eight in the conference standings.
I agree with the last part of what you said Todd. I think the only way Iowa gets in is finishing off the regular season without a loss (unlikely with a game at Indiana) and probably 1 or 2 wins in the BTT. Otherwise, they better win the whole tournament because that loss at Nebraska was a huge setback. Nebraska's RPI isn't outrageously bad like other teams Iowa has played, but a road win would have been way helpful there, and that is definitely a bad loss in mine, and probably the committees eyes.
I also think a win at IU would go further than a win at Neb, and I've though the entire way that Iowa needed 4 of 5 to end the season and then 1 in the BTT (if that makes sense). Basically, Iowa still needs 5 wins to get in IMO.
"I was brought in here to change the culture. I'm going to coach with passion" - Fran McCaffery.
That let down at Nebraska is just HUGE.
Iowa could be ahead of both Illinois and Minnesota in conference standings and they would probably get chosen ahead of us, as Todd mentioned in his thoughts.
Woulda, Shoulda, Coulda...
I hear ya U2, I'm still hurting myself.
Who the heck does in the B1G....0-14 Penn St 84 #4 scUM 78
Penn State had been playing much better ball lately, including giving Michigan a run for their money in Ann Arbor, but that's still a pretty big upset regardless.
Even though Penn State has had a rough season, they have probably improved the most of any team in terms of where they were a few months ago. They have played many of the B1G teams close, so it was a deserving win tonight for PSU.
I believe UM has now lost their last 4 road games. Yes, being away from the home court can be troublesome.
I like what PSU is doing and I really like Chambers, their coach. It was a tough break losing Frazier for the year but the kept fighting and it paid off for them in a big way on senior night.
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